Stevens is vulnerable up here for three reasons.

1. The recent scandals involving Ted and his son Ben have turned off a lot of Ted's supporters.
   
2. Stevens' often nasty personality have earned him a lot of enemies over the years.
   
3. A combination of age and alcohol has taken its toll on him. At a recent fund raiser in Anchorage, Stevens couldn't remember the names of anyone in attendance, even the Republican luminaries that organized the event for him. Ted's handlers now have to insist that everyone wear name tags around him to try to avoid embarrassment.

On the other hand, Stevens (who Alaskans call 'Uncle Ted), is still beloved by a great many Alaskans for all the pork he has brought home over the years.